UK Inflation Surge | Aristocrat

20 May 2022

Global markets were lower overnight, US Markets (S&P 500 Index, -0.6%) fell again as investors fear the impact of inflation and the Fed’s rapid rate hikes will have on the economy – increasing the risk of recession.

Consumer staples and tech shares were the worst performing with most sectors trading in the red. Cisco slumped -13.7% after its quarterly result disappointed, and guided further weakness for the current quarter. 

European markets (Stoxx 600 index, -1.4%) closed lower again digesting the harsh sell-off from Wall street the night before as well as grabling with their own inflation crisis.

U.K. data showed inflation soared to a 40-year high of 9% in April as food and energy prices spiraled out of control- escalating the country’s cost-of-living crisis.

Aristocrat Leisure (ALL:ASX)

Aristocrat managed to buck the market wide sell off yesterday as it lifted +6.7% after delivering a strong half year result for the 2022 financial year. Revenue rose +23% from the previous year to $2.7 billion, while operating earnings (EBITDA) rose +30.3% form last year to $970.3m ahead of expectations driven by strong performance from Gaming operations and Outright Sales, Supported by a robust performance from Pixel United.

Aristocrat increased its interim dividend 73% to 26 cent per share, and given the strong balance sheet and failed acquisition of PlayTech will also undertake a $500m on market share buyback.

We remain BUY rated on Aristocrat with a medium-term investment horizon, and like the general market will be exposed to volatility over the near-term. 

Australia & New Zealand Market Movers

The Australian market was down yesterday (ASX200 index, -1.7%) following Wall street sharp inflation induced sell-off.

All sectors traded in the red except for healthcare, and in a similar fashion retailers were hardest hit (both consumer staples and discretionary), followed by tech stocks.

Ramsay Healthcare edged higher after KKR and Co confirmed its $20 billion ($88 per share) takeover bid for the company.

Agriculture chemicals group Nufarm lifted profits by 61.1% but the result wasn’t enough to impress investors as the shares slipped -8.6%.

The New Zealand market (NZX 50 index, -0.5%) was down on Thursday, trimming back larger loss after a “balanced” looking government budget was released with an emphasis on a healthcare and spending to ease higher cost of living – particularly for low-income earners.

Some shares trading in the green, Infratil closing at +2.5%, after reporting a $1.2 billion net profit due to the sale of Tilt renewables last year, and favourable uplift in valuation of its businesses.  Goodman property trust rose +2.4%after forecasting solid dividend growth for 2023 financial year, and got a strong property revaluation uplift.

3 Things Markets will be Watching this Week

  1. Geopolitical risks remain elevated given the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
  2. Eurozone Inflation and employment figures
  3. Locally, earnings from James Hardie, Argosy Property, Briscoes, Goodman Property Group, Infratil, Oceania Healthcare and Ryman Healthcare
Global markets were lower overnight, US Markets (S&P 500 Index, -0.6%) fell again as investors fear the impact of inflation and the Fed’s rapid rate hikes will have on the economy - increasing the risk of recession.

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