Fed’s Dovish Tone

2 February 2023

New Zealand Market Movers 

The New Zealand market (NZX 50 Index, +1.0%) rose a percent on Wednesday, getting ahead of the US federal Reserve’s rate hike this morning. 

Serko (+8.3%) continued to lead gains, followed by the heavyweights of the index, including Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (+2.6%), Fletcher Building (+3.6%) and Mercury (+3.9%). 

Data from the NZX (0.0%) yesterday noted that the total market cap of companies listed on the exchange fell by 31% in 2022 to $37.4 billion. Elsewhere, labour market data showed that while wage inflation was at record highs, the unemployment rate edged up slightly to 3.4% in the December quarter from 3.3% in the previous quarter, hinting that RBNZ’s efforts to cool the economy is taking an affect. 

Australia Market Movers 

The Australian market (ASX 200 Index, +0.3%) inched up on Wednesday, supported by Real Estate (+1.4%) stocks. 

Flight Centre (+8.1%) jumped after it returned to trading after announcing on Tuesday that it will purchase UK-based luxury travel agency Scott Dunn for $220 million. Other travel stocks such as Qantas (+1.0%) and Webjet (+0.4%) also advanced on the day. 

Europe Market Movers  

European markets (Stoxx 600 Index, -0.03%) ended Wednesday flat.  

January Inflation data in the euro zone showed a third consecutive month of declines on the back of a significant fall in energy costs (-17.2%). Inflation in the euro zone came in at +8.5% for January, down from +9.2% for December.

US Market Movers 

US markets (S&P 500 Index +1.1%) was in the red for most of the session but then jumped into positive territory on Wednesday, following Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s slightly dovish tone compared to its December meeting. 

The 25-point hike to 4.75% was mostly expected by the market expected the 25-point hike to 4.75%, while commentary added that inflation is starting to slowdown fueled market optimism. Hinting that not as many rate hikes would be required (data dependent), taking a dovish tone and indicating a possibly lower peak rate. They also added that unlike many in the market, the fed is still ruling out any rate cuts for 2023. 

US Fed Funds Rate

The Nasdaq rose strongly up +2.2%, as a number of tech names gained strongly due to the above as well as a handful of strong results from AMD (+12.4%), Pelaton (26.4%). While others didn’t fare so well EA down –9.3% and Social media company Snapchat plummet –10.8% as companies cut their digital ad spend.  

What Markets will be Watching this Week (UTC +13) 

Monday 
NZ Auckland Anniversary 

Tuesday 
AU Retail Sales MoM 

Wednesday 
NZ Unemployment Rate 

EU Inflation Rate YoY 

US Mcdonald’s Earnings 

Thursday 
US JOLTS Job Openings 

US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 

US Meta Platforms Earnings 

Friday 
UK Bank of England Interest Rate Decision 

EU European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision 

US Apple Earnings 

US Alphabet Earnings 

US Amazon.com Earnings 

US Starbucks Earnings 

US Estee Lauder Earnings   

Saturday 
US Non Farm Payrolls 

US markets (S&P 500 Index +1.1%) was in the red for most of the session but then jumped into positive territory on Wednesday, following Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s slightly dovish tone compared to its December meeting.

Do You Want Daily Market Insights?

If you’re interested in staying up-to-date with the latest news and analysis on stocks, be sure to sign up to BlackBull Research.

1 Month Free Trial

Access our expert stock market research Free of charge with no obligation

Free 1 Month Free Trial

Unlock this article & access our expert stock market research

ASX, NZX & USD Stock Buy, Hold, Sell recommendations. Model Portfolios. Daily news and more

[pmpro_checkout]