Week Ahead, Big Tech Lift Markets | Amazon Result

1 August 2022

Global markets were up on Friday, as US markets (S&P 500 Index, +1.4%) welcomed strong tech earnings, despite lingering concerns around high inflation and recessionary risks.

Markets have rebounded strongly in July, with the S&P 500 Index up +9.1% and the NASDAQ Index rising +12.4%, the largest monthly gains since 2020. On one hand fears of further aggressive interest rate hikes have eases and there is a growing view that inflation could have peaked. More importantly, while there have been a wide range of outcomes, tech stocks have reported stronger than expected earnings results so far, with all the mega cap names – Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft rallying post result, with the exception being Meta (Facebook).
Closer to home, both the Australian and New Zealand markets were up 5.8% for the month.

Amazon jumped +10.4%, while Apple rose +3.2% Friday after posting better-than-expected iPhone revenue. Chevron (+8.9%) and Exxon Mobil (+4.6%) were also up strongly after posting better-than-anticipated results for the previous quarter. Again it wasn’t all good news for less established names, with Roku slumping 23.1% after missing expectations and warned slowdown in advertising, while chipmaker intel dropped -8.6% on their earnings miss.

European markets (Stoxx 600 Index, +1.3%) were up led by oil and gas stocks. Despite record inflation and escalating gas crisis the Eurozone economy rose +0.7% in the second quarter, beating expectations of +0.2%

Amazon (AMZN:NASDAQ)

Amazon jumped +10.4% after posting strong quarter earnings and better-than-expected third quarter earnings, following a weak result from Walmart and Meta earlier in the week which had set expectations low for Amazon’s e-commerce and advertising businesses. Group revenue rose +7% from last year bucking the trend from some big tech peers helped by another strong quarter for it’s Amazon Web services and Advertising businesses both having revenue rise +33% and +18% respectively.

In light of cost inflation and excess staff and warehouse capacity Amazon had slashed 99,000 jobs, as online shopping slowed since the peak of the pandemic its core e-commerce business and reported a -4% decline in revenue.

We remain Buy (High Risk) rated on Amazon and believe its key driver of growth will come from it’s Amazon web services and advertising business.

Australia & New Zealand Market Movers

The Australian market (ASX 200 Index, +0.8%) was up on Friday, following global rally as investors risk appetite improves despite the US economy entering into a ‘technical recession’.
Most sectors were higher led by real estate and utilities. Zip Co shares fell -25%, to end its week up +29%. Origin Energy rose +4.2%, after reporting its revenue doubled from its holding in Australia Pacific LNG project.

The New Zealand market (NZX 50 Index, +1.4%) was up strongly again on Friday.

Mainfreight continued its run by adding another +2% as equity markets continue it’s rebound.
Pacific Edge was placed into a trading halt on news that its Cxbladder product had been mentioned in a draft proposal from healthcare provider Novitas to possibly no longer be covered and eligible for healthcare insurance reimbursement (a major hit for the company).

3 Things Markets will be Watching this Week

  1. US Corporate Earnings continue, with nonfarm payroll (employment) data in the US out later in the week.
  2. The Bank of England’s rate decision and PMI manufacturing surveys across the globe.
  3. Locally, reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate decision.
Global markets were up on Friday, as US markets (S&P 500 Index, +1.4%) welcomed strong tech earnings, despite lingering concerns around high inflation and recessionary risks.

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